Must IPO vs CFB Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.7%
7.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Must IPO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 3
CPK
52%
19%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CPK
4 - 0
TCK
68%
16%
16%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CPK
3 - 0
SMA
75%
14%
11%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CPK
1 - 0
CHF
63%
18%
20%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CPK
4 - 0
LUL
74%
13%
13%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CFB Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
BMA
1 - 1
SMA
48%
21%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
BMA
2 - 2
LUL
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CHF
5 - 0
BMA
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
BMA
2 - 1
CPO
65%
17%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
BMA
0 - 8
MCA
32%
21%
48%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -2 |