Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 1
CHU
49%
27%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 1
PAJ
50%
27%
24%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
GAN
1 - 0
CHA
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 1
GIM
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
DAE
1 - 1
CHA
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gyeongju HNP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2025 |
GYE
0 - 0
YAN
55%
26%
20%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
CHU
1 - 0
GYE
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
GYE
0 - 4
POC
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
GYE
1 - 1
PAJ
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
GYE
2 - 3
SIH
35%
28%
38%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |