Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
58.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
GAN
3 - 0
CHA
71%
20%
10%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 2
MOK
40%
26%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CHE
3 - 0
CHA
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
GIM
0 - 2
CHA
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 1
DAE
35%
26%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gyeongju HNP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
GYE
0 - 0
GIM
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
GAN
3 - 1
GYE
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
GYE
1 - 0
DAE
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
GYE
1 - 0
MOK
65%
22%
14%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
BUS
2 - 2
GYE
19%
26%
56%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |