Korea National League Round 6

Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP analysis

Changwon City Gyeongju HNP
65 ELO 61
-4.1% Tilt 13.4%
2565º General ELO ranking 2176º
32º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
55%
Changwon City
24%
Draw
21%
Gyeongju HNP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
Changwon City
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21%
Win probability
Gyeongju HNP
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Changwon City
-8%
-13%
Gyeongju HNP

ELO progression

Changwon City
Gyeongju HNP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Changwon City
Changwon City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2012
GKB
Goyang KB
3 - 0
Changwon City
CHA
46%
25%
29%
66 67 1 0
31 Mar. 2012
CHA
Changwon City
0 - 2
Suwon FC
SUW
37%
28%
35%
67 73 6 -1
23 Mar. 2012
CHA
Changwon City
2 - 1
Chungju Hummel
CHU
60%
23%
18%
67 59 8 0
17 Mar. 2012
CHE
Cheonan City
0 - 1
Changwon City
CHA
40%
26%
35%
66 65 1 +1
10 Mar. 2012
CHA
Changwon City
4 - 3
Daejeon Korail
DAE
48%
26%
25%
65 64 1 +1

Matches

Gyeongju HNP
Gyeongju HNP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2012
GYE
Gyeongju HNP
1 - 1
Gimhae City
GIM
47%
24%
29%
60 61 1 0
30 Mar. 2012
GOY
Goyang Hi FC
1 - 0
Gyeongju HNP
GYE
36%
27%
37%
61 58 3 -1
24 Mar. 2012
ULS
Ulsan Dolphins
3 - 1
Gyeongju HNP
GYE
66%
20%
14%
62 71 9 -1
17 Mar. 2012
GYE
Gyeongju HNP
0 - 6
Goyang KB
GKB
48%
25%
27%
63 65 2 -1
10 Mar. 2012
GYE
Gyeongju HNP
0 - 1
Suwon FC
SUW
36%
27%
37%
63 72 9 0