Change vs Montagnarde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 0
SAI
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
GUI
1 - 0
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 4
DIV
43%
24%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 1
CON
41%
27%
32%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LOR
3 - 0
CHA
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Montagnarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MON
0 - 1
LAV
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
SAI
0 - 1
MON
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MON
3 - 1
CHA
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GUI
0 - 0
MON
56%
24%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
MON
0 - 0
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |