Change vs Guingamp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LAV
2 - 0
CHA
57%
23%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 1
ALE
27%
26%
47%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
LAN
3 - 0
CHA
44%
24%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 2
SAI
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 2
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
GUI
2 - 2
VIT
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
QUC
1 - 6
GUI
24%
26%
50%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
GUI
2 - 1
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
PON
3 - 2
GUI
34%
26%
39%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
GUI
4 - 0
DIN
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |