Change vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
65.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 5
LUS
21%
24%
55%
|
22 | 68 | 46 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 3
VAL
6%
15%
79%
|
22 | 63 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 4
ASB
11%
23%
66%
|
22 | 72 | 50 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
CHA
0 - 3
REI
23%
25%
52%
|
22 | 69 | 47 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
AUR
1 - 3
CHA
72%
16%
11%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
AVR
0 - 3
AMI
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
USB
1 - 0
AVR
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
FEC
4 - 3
AVR
29%
24%
48%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
AVR
1 - 2
SOC
18%
23%
60%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |