Changchun Yatai vs Wuhan Three Towns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
16º
9º
31
8º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CBC
4 - 0
CHA
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
SHI
56%
23%
22%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SJF
2 - 1
CHA
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
TIT
4 - 3
CHA
47%
23%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 2
CHA
73%
18%
10%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Wuhan Three Towns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WFC
4 - 1
SJF
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
WFC
0 - 2
SHA
29%
27%
45%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WFC
1 - 1
CBC
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SHI
1 - 1
WFC
18%
23%
59%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BEI
1 - 2
WFC
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |