Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LIA
1 - 0
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 2
QIN
57%
23%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BEI
4 - 1
CHA
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TIT
1 - 2
CHA
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 2
SHA
71%
19%
11%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 3
SHA
19%
24%
57%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
HEN
0 - 0
SHE
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 2
CHE
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
SHE
1 - 1
LIA
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
QIN
2 - 0
SHE
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |