Niort vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
CSL
2 - 3
NIO
34%
30%
36%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2000 |
NIO
1 - 0
CHA
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
AJA
2 - 2
NIO
51%
27%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
NIO
1 - 2
NIC
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
NÎM
1 - 4
NIO
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
TFC
2 - 0
ESW
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2000 |
LUS
3 - 1
TFC
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
CSL
1 - 2
TFC
26%
30%
45%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
TFC
0 - 1
CHA
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2000 |
AJA
0 - 1
TFC
42%
29%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |