Niort vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PFC
0 - 1
NIO
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
NIO
2 - 0
CHE
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
LPS
1 - 0
NIO
28%
28%
45%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
FCM
2 - 1
NIO
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
NIO
1 - 1
NÎM
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
BRC
1 - 1
SPI
33%
27%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SPI
2 - 1
PFC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
SPI
4 - 0
FRE
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 0
SPI
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SPI
2 - 0
FCM
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |