Niort vs Orléans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
BAY
1 - 1
NIO
25%
27%
48%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BRC
1 - 1
NIO
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
NIO
3 - 0
FCR
55%
24%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
NIO
0 - 0
SPI
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PFC
0 - 1
NIO
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Orléans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
LUZ
0 - 1
ORL
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
ORL
1 - 2
SPI
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PFC
1 - 0
ORL
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
ORL
1 - 0
COL
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
ORL
3 - 2
CHE
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |