Niort vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
46.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 0
NIO
53%
26%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
NIO
0 - 2
STR
31%
27%
41%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
AMI
2 - 1
NIO
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
BAY
2 - 1
NIO
29%
30%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
NIO
2 - 1
FCR
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
STR
2 - 1
GUI
41%
29%
31%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
GUI
4 - 0
CAN
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GUI
2 - 2
BAY
79%
15%
6%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
ORL
1 - 1
GUI
17%
27%
57%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
ROD
0 - 2
GUI
18%
27%
55%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |