Niort vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
11.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 3
NIO
25%
28%
48%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
NIO
2 - 1
TOF
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PSG
2 - 0
NIO
20%
28%
52%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
NIO
2 - 2
FCL
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
RED
1 - 0
NIO
18%
27%
55%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
FON
2 - 1
LES
49%
26%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 0
FON
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FON
1 - 3
GDB
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
TOF
0 - 1
FON
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
FON
0 - 0
LES
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |