Niort vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
NÎM
0 - 0
NIO
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1993 |
NIO
2 - 1
FCM
54%
25%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
VAL
0 - 2
NIO
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
SED
2 - 0
NIO
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
NIO
2 - 1
REN
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
BAS
2 - 1
REN
51%
28%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1993 |
NIC
2 - 2
BAS
57%
25%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCR
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
VAL
3 - 2
BAS
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
BAS
2 - 0
LMU
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |