Niort vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
ASN
0 - 1
NIO
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
NIO
1 - 1
ORL
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
NIO
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 0
NIO
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
NIO
4 - 2
CLE
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 1
LOR
28%
23%
49%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 0
LOR
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
MET
3 - 1
AJA
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
PFC
0 - 0
AJA
33%
26%
40%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 3
SOC
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |