Challans vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
9º
9º
30
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 32% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 68% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
ESO
2 - 2
CHA
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
LAT
47%
26%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ANG
2 - 2
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 1
USS
45%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SAB
1 - 0
CHA
39%
25%
37%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SPG
1 - 1
FON
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
SPG
2 - 0
ASC
48%
24%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ESO
2 - 0
SPG
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SPG
1 - 0
LAT
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ANG
3 - 1
SPG
46%
26%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |