Challans vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
11º
3º
28
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 79.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
ESO
0 - 4
CHA
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 1
LAV
47%
27%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 2
CHA
22%
24%
55%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
LEM
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LPS
0 - 0
CHA
36%
25%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
SPG
1 - 3
USS
23%
21%
56%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FON
1 - 1
SPG
61%
20%
20%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ESO
1 - 1
SPG
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SPG
0 - 2
LAV
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
SPG
25%
21%
54%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |