Challans vs Change analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
LPS
1 - 0
CHA
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
RCL
55%
22%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
LAS
0 - 0
CHA
30%
22%
47%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 1
LES
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NAN
3 - 0
CHA
77%
15%
9%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CHA
3 - 2
MUL
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
USS
2 - 0
CHA
54%
23%
22%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
VOL
2 - 3
CHA
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
SAI
1 - 1
CHA
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
LPS
18%
23%
60%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +2 |