Chalatenango vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 2
AGU
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
FIR
2 - 0
CHA
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 1
CHA
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
CHA
3 - 2
FAS
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 1
CHA
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 1
ALI
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
FAS
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 0
ALI
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
MET
20%
24%
55%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
VIS
1 - 0
ALI
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |