Chaco For Ever vs Sarm. Resistencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaco For Ever
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CFE
0 - 2
SOL
47%
27%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 2
CFE
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CFE
0 - 2
SPA
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
CFE
30%
27%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
CFE
2 - 1
SOL
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Sarm. Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SPA
0 - 0
SAR
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 0
SOL
30%
26%
45%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 2
SAR
74%
18%
8%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
CFE
30%
27%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 1
SAR
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |