Chacarita Juniors vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 3
CHA
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 2
RAF
28%
29%
43%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 1
CHA
52%
28%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 1
SMA
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
CHA
56%
26%
18%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
FER
0 - 2
MER
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
FER
0 - 2
PAT
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CAI
0 - 3
FER
41%
28%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FER
2 - 0
RAF
24%
29%
46%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 0
FER
50%
27%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |