Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
25.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chacarita Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
ALM
2 - 1
CHA
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
AND
5 - 1
CHA
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
DAL
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 3
CHA
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
BAR
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
MER
1 - 2
ALM
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
DAL
0 - 1
MER
38%
30%
32%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 0
MER
29%
30%
41%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MER
0 - 0
CHI
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
MER
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |