Primera Nacional round 24

Chacarita Juniors vs Belgrano analysis

Chacarita Juniors Belgrano
77 ELO 76
3.5% Tilt -9.6%
437º General ELO ranking 282º
40º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
51.6%
Chacarita Juniors
25.2%
Draw
23.2%
Belgrano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
Chacarita Juniors
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.2%
Win probability
Belgrano
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chacarita Juniors
+8%
-7%
Belgrano

ELO progression

Chacarita Juniors
Belgrano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chacarita Juniors
Chacarita Juniors
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2009
ALB
All Boys
2 - 3
Chacarita Juniors
CHA
43%
28%
30%
77 70 7 0
27 Feb. 2009
CHA
Chacarita Juniors
1 - 1
Defensa y Justicia
DYJ
61%
23%
16%
77 70 7 0
21 Feb. 2009
TFE
Tiro Federal Rosario
2 - 2
Chacarita Juniors
CHA
44%
27%
29%
77 73 4 0
13 Feb. 2009
CHA
Chacarita Juniors
3 - 0
Atletico Rafaela
RAF
53%
25%
22%
76 75 1 +1
22 Jan. 2009
ARS
Arsenal de Sarandí
4 - 2
Chacarita Juniors
CHA
60%
23%
17%
76 80 4 0

Matches

Belgrano
Belgrano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2009
BEL
Belgrano
0 - 3
Indep. Rivadavia
IRV
50%
27%
23%
77 70 7 0
28 Feb. 2009
AND
Los Andes
2 - 2
Belgrano
BEL
37%
27%
36%
77 62 15 0
21 Feb. 2009
BEL
Belgrano
1 - 0
Instituto
INS
51%
27%
22%
77 70 7 0
14 Feb. 2009
BEL
Belgrano
0 - 0
Unión Santa Fe
CAU
49%
27%
24%
77 71 6 0
13 Dec. 2008
BEL
Belgrano
0 - 1
All Boys
ALB
56%
26%
19%
78 69 9 -1