Universidade vs Marte CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
6.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 0
OZA
74%
15%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
REL
0 - 2
UNI
17%
20%
63%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
UNI
4 - 0
TOR
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 3
UNI
15%
19%
67%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
ESP
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marte CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LIC
0 - 3
MAR
41%
21%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
ORZ
39%
23%
38%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
GAL
3 - 3
MAR
65%
18%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 3
CAS
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CDC
2 - 0
MAR
57%
20%
23%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |