Universidade vs Atlético dos Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
4.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CDC
2 - 2
UNI
10%
16%
74%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
COR
60%
19%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 4
UNI
13%
18%
69%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
9 - 0
MAR
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 0
OZA
74%
15%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético dos Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LIC
1 - 5
CAS
54%
20%
26%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 5
ORZ
50%
22%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
GAL
5 - 2
CAS
59%
20%
22%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
CDC
48%
22%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
COR
6 - 1
CAS
81%
12%
7%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |