CF Villanovense vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
46.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 5
VIL
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 3
BET
62%
23%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIL
40%
27%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
ALG
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 2
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 0
MAR
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 2
MUR
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 1
ALG
70%
21%
9%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 0
CAR
62%
24%
15%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
REC
0 - 0
MUR
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |