Villafames vs Cinctorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+117%
-93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafames
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 2
VIL
60%
19%
21%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
BEN
42%
23%
35%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 3
VIL
31%
22%
47%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
POB
36%
23%
41%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAT
0 - 3
VIL
78%
13%
9%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cinctorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CIN
2 - 1
POB
21%
21%
57%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
CAT
3 - 1
CIN
71%
16%
13%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CIN
0 - 4
VIN
23%
21%
57%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 0
CIN
40%
22%
37%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CIN
3 - 2
BBF
52%
20%
28%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | +1 |