Primera RFEF Grupo I. Jor. 37

CF Talavera vs Racing Ferrol analysis

CF Talavera Racing Ferrol
48 ELO 65
-2.7% Tilt -4.1%
3878º General ELO ranking 727º
111º Country ELO ranking 39º
ELO win probability
18.5%
CF Talavera
28.1%
Draw
53.5%
Racing Ferrol

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
CF Talavera
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
53.5%
Win probability
Racing Ferrol
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CF Talavera
-34%
-2%
Racing Ferrol

Points and table prediction

CF Talavera
Their league position
Racing Ferrol
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
15º
20º
20º
75
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Racing Ferrol
75
75
100%
Alcorcón
74
74
100%
RM Castilla
69
69
100%
RC Deportivo
67
67
100%
Celta Fortuna
59
59
0%
Linares Deportivo
59
59
0%
Unionistas CF
56
56
100%
Córdoba CF
54
54
0%
AD Mérida
54
54
0%
Cultural Leonesa
10º
48
48
10º
100%
Fuenlabrada
11º
46
46
11º
100%
AD Ceuta FC
12º
45
45
12º
0%
San Fernando CD
13º
45
45
13º
0%
Rayo Majadahonda
14º
45
45
14º
0%
Algeciras CF
15º
44
44
15º
100%
UD Sanse
17º
43
43
16º
0%
CD Badajoz
16º
43
43
17º
0%
RB Linense
18º
42
42
18º
100%
Pontevedra
19º
36
36
19º
100%
CF Talavera
20º
33
33
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
CF Talavera
Racing Ferrol
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

CF Talavera
Racing Ferrol
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CF Talavera
CF Talavera
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2023
CEU
AD Ceuta FC
4 - 1
CF Talavera
TAL
60%
23%
18%
50 56 6 0
07 May. 2023
TAL
CF Talavera
4 - 2
Pontevedra
PON
39%
27%
34%
48 50 2 +2
30 Apr. 2023
TAL
CF Talavera
2 - 7
RM Castilla
RMC
14%
23%
63%
49 64 15 -1
22 Apr. 2023
CEL
Celta Fortuna
1 - 1
CF Talavera
TAL
73%
18%
9%
49 62 13 0
16 Apr. 2023
TAL
CF Talavera
0 - 1
Unionistas CF
UNI
28%
28%
44%
50 58 8 -1

Matches

Racing Ferrol
Racing Ferrol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2023
RCF
Racing Ferrol
2 - 1
CD Badajoz
CDB
65%
22%
13%
64 54 10 0
07 May. 2023
UNI
Unionistas CF
1 - 1
Racing Ferrol
RCF
36%
30%
34%
64 59 5 0
03 May. 2023
CCF
Córdoba CF
1 - 2
Racing Ferrol
RCF
42%
28%
30%
64 59 5 0
29 Apr. 2023
RCF
Racing Ferrol
1 - 0
RB Linense
BAL
70%
21%
10%
64 53 11 0
23 Apr. 2023
SSR
UD Sanse
0 - 3
Racing Ferrol
RCF
22%
30%
48%
64 52 12 0
X