Rafal vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
33.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ALG
3 - 4
RAF
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PIN
2 - 3
RAF
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RAF
1 - 2
MON
33%
23%
44%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ALB
1 - 4
RAF
65%
18%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
RAF
0 - 3
ALG
26%
21%
52%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
UDF
1 - 1
ELD
54%
22%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
UDF
6 - 2
UEC
76%
15%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ASP
1 - 0
UDF
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ALG
2 - 1
UDF
50%
22%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
UDF
3 - 0
PIN
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | +1 |