Rafal vs Eldense C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
59.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
ALG
2 - 1
RAF
73%
17%
11%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
RAF
1 - 2
MON
14%
19%
67%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UDF
4 - 5
RAF
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RAF
4 - 1
PRV
53%
21%
26%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
UDL
2 - 0
RAF
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -3 |
Matches
Eldense C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
ELD
0 - 1
ELD
65%
17%
18%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
ELD
2 - 1
ALB
53%
20%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ELD
0 - 1
MON
51%
20%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 2
ELD
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ELD
2 - 1
ALG
87%
9%
5%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | +1 |