Lliga Segona FFCV round 13

Rafal vs Algorfa analysis

Rafal Algorfa
14 ELO 15
-1.8% Tilt -6.2%
12158º General ELO ranking 9524º
2312º Country ELO ranking 660º
ELO win probability
41%
Rafal
22.9%
Draw
36.1%
Algorfa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
Rafal
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
36.1%
Win probability
Algorfa
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rafal
+16%
+97%
Algorfa

ELO progression

Rafal
Algorfa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rafal
Rafal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2023
ELD
Eldense C
3 - 1
Rafal
RAF
78%
13%
9%
15 21 6 0
25 Nov. 2023
RAF
Rafal
2 - 1
Sax
UDF
30%
22%
48%
14 16 2 +1
18 Nov. 2023
PRV
Peñaraval
1 - 2
Rafal
RAF
33%
22%
45%
13 10 3 +1
11 Nov. 2023
RAF
Rafal
3 - 0
UD La Coca Aspense
UDL
66%
18%
17%
12 9 3 +1
05 Nov. 2023
SPD
Sporting Dolores
2 - 2
Rafal
RAF
21%
22%
57%
13 7 6 -1

Matches

Algorfa
Algorfa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2023
ALG
Algorfa
1 - 1
CD Montesinos
MON
18%
20%
62%
15 21 6 0
25 Nov. 2023
CDC
Cox
2 - 1
Algorfa
ALG
59%
21%
20%
15 19 4 0
18 Nov. 2023
ALG
Algorfa
5 - 2
Algueña Cf
ALG
66%
19%
16%
14 10 4 +1
11 Nov. 2023
ASP
UD Aspe
2 - 1
Algorfa
ALG
59%
20%
21%
15 17 2 -1
04 Nov. 2023
ALG
Algorfa
1 - 0
Racing San Miguel
RAC
49%
23%
29%
14 13 1 +1