Belenenses SAD vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belenenses SAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
AMO
3 - 4
BEL
3%
8%
88%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
FEI
0 - 0
BEL
38%
30%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 3
SPB
29%
24%
48%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
BEL
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 1
BEL
22%
24%
54%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 0
SLB
49%
24%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
SER
0 - 3
SLB
5%
15%
80%
|
87 | 45 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
AEK
2 - 3
SLB
44%
25%
31%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 2
SLB
16%
22%
62%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |