Orba vs Simat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+110%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 1
ORB
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
ORB
2 - 2
BEL
47%
21%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ORB
1 - 3
XER
58%
20%
22%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
VER
1 - 2
ORB
58%
21%
21%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 1
ORB
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Simat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
SIM
4 - 2
ROT
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CDC
1 - 1
SIM
30%
21%
49%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SIM
1 - 1
GAN
54%
21%
25%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
GAN
3 - 0
SIM
82%
12%
7%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ATH
1 - 3
SIM
57%
21%
22%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |