Orba vs Real Safor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 5
ORB
12%
18%
70%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ATH
0 - 1
ORB
45%
24%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ROT
2 - 3
ORB
21%
21%
58%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ORB
12 - 0
CDC
80%
12%
7%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GAN
3 - 2
ORB
40%
22%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Safor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ATH
0 - 0
RSA
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
RSA
6 - 3
ROT
49%
21%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CDC
2 - 3
RSA
43%
22%
35%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
RSA
1 - 1
GAN
15%
17%
69%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
GAN
5 - 0
RSA
78%
14%
9%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |