Moro A vs Rafalafena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moro A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VIN
1 - 0
MOR
15%
22%
63%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MOR
4 - 2
CDB
65%
18%
17%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
BET
55%
22%
23%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CAB
3 - 1
MOR
68%
19%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
IBA
38%
24%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rafalafena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
RAF
4 - 2
BET
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CAB
1 - 0
RAF
39%
24%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
RAF
2 - 1
IBA
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
EST
2 - 2
RAF
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
RAF
4 - 1
PEN
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |