Lorca Deportiva vs Alcantarilla FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
5.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
9º
2º
25
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 2
GRA
22%
25%
53%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
AGU
0 - 0
LOR
66%
21%
13%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 1
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 3
LOR
13%
22%
65%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 1
RMC
52%
23%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alcantarilla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ALC
3 - 0
JUV
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CDT
0 - 1
ALC
33%
26%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 1
MIN
32%
24%
44%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CDA
2 - 1
ALC
48%
25%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 1
ROL
78%
15%
8%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |