Lorca Deportiva vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 1
LOR
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
MAZ
0 - 3
LOR
16%
22%
63%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2025 |
LOR
0 - 1
ALC
21%
24%
56%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2025 |
LOR
1 - 2
MUR
11%
19%
70%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
LOR
2 - 1
BUL
83%
13%
5%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2025 |
RJA
2 - 1
ANT
19%
22%
60%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
UDS
1 - 2
RJA
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
CDV
0 - 5
RJA
9%
20%
71%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
RJA
2 - 1
CAC
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
CAC
0 - 1
RJA
33%
27%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |