Tercera RFEF XIII - Región de Murcia. Jor. 8

Lorca Deportiva vs Muleño CF analysis

Lorca Deportiva Muleño CF
27 ELO 20
7.5% Tilt -16.4%
7690º General ELO ranking 10828º
305º Country ELO ranking 720º
ELO win probability
71.3%
Lorca Deportiva
16.3%
Draw
12.4%
Muleño CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
Lorca Deportiva
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.4%
Win probability
Muleño CF
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lorca Deportiva
-35%
+21%
Muleño CF

Points and table prediction

Lorca Deportiva
Their league position
Muleño CF
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
21
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Águilas FC
70
70
100%
Lorca Deportiva
58
58
100%
FC La Unión Atl.
58
58
100%
At. Pulpileño
54
54
100%
Racing Murcia
52
52
100%
Unión Molinense
50
50
100%
Real Murcia Imperial
44
44
100%
Cieza
40
40
100%
UCAM Murcia B
39
39
100%
CAP Ciudad de Murcia
10º
35
35
10º
100%
El Palmar
11º
34
34
11º
50%
Caravaca
12º
31
34
12º
50%
Deportiva Minera
13º
30
30
13º
100%
Alcantarilla FC
14º
25
25
14º
100%
Muleño CF
15º
21
21
15º
100%
CD Bullense
16º
20
20
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lorca Deportiva
Muleño CF
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lorca Deportiva
Muleño CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lorca Deportiva
Lorca Deportiva
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2022
LAU
FC La Unión Atl.
0 - 0
Lorca Deportiva
LOR
60%
21%
19%
27 33 6 0
15 Oct. 2022
LOR
Lorca Deportiva
1 - 1
Águilas FC
AGU
25%
25%
50%
26 43 17 +1
09 Oct. 2022
CIE
Cieza
3 - 2
Lorca Deportiva
LOR
29%
25%
46%
27 20 7 -1
02 Oct. 2022
MSM
Unión Molinense
2 - 0
Lorca Deportiva
LOR
18%
23%
59%
30 16 14 -3
28 Sep. 2022
CFP
Platges de Calvià
2 - 0
Lorca Deportiva
LOR
44%
28%
29%
31 33 2 -1

Matches

Muleño CF
Muleño CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2022
MUL
Muleño CF
0 - 2
Unión Molinense
MSM
48%
24%
28%
21 20 1 0
16 Oct. 2022
PUL
At. Pulpileño
5 - 4
Muleño CF
MUL
62%
21%
17%
21 31 10 0
09 Oct. 2022
MUL
Muleño CF
3 - 2
El Palmar
EGP
35%
25%
40%
20 23 3 +1
02 Oct. 2022
ALC
Alcantarilla FC
2 - 0
Muleño CF
MUL
28%
24%
48%
21 17 4 -1
24 Sep. 2022
MUL
Muleño CF
2 - 1
CD Bullense
BUL
50%
24%
26%
21 19 2 0
X