Copa Federacion Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Lorca Deportiva vs Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MIN
1 - 3
LOR
14%
22%
65%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
FUE
1 - 0
LOR
62%
22%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
4 - 0
CFC
79%
14%
6%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
4 - 0
CDB
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CHU
0 - 2
LOR
17%
20%
63%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
FUE
3 - 0
CDM
54%
25%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
FUE
1 - 0
LOR
62%
22%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NAV
0 - 0
FUE
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FUE
3 - 2
SSR
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
BUR
0 - 1
FUE
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |