L. Alfafar vs Alcàsser analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
64.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L. Alfafar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LEV
0 - 3
MAR
26%
22%
52%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 1
LEV
35%
22%
43%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PIC
2 - 0
LEV
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 0
SIL
26%
21%
53%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ALM
3 - 0
LEV
49%
22%
29%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alcàsser
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SDS
1 - 3
ALC
14%
19%
67%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 0
VAL
64%
19%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 2
ALC
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 0
AVA
80%
13%
8%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ALD
1 - 0
ALC
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |