Estrela da Amadora vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela da Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
REA
1 - 1
ESA
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ESA
2 - 0
LUS
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ESA
3 - 0
IDE
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SRO
0 - 3
ESA
7%
13%
80%
|
50 | 8 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
GDF
1 - 2
ESA
9%
18%
74%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ORI
0 - 1
RAB
79%
14%
8%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CER
0 - 2
ORI
19%
21%
60%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FAB
2 - 2
ORI
20%
23%
57%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
ORI
0 - 1
SCP
17%
24%
59%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ORI
1 - 2
EDL
66%
21%
14%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -2 |