Alfaro B vs Rapid de Murillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
74.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+166%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RBF
0 - 3
CFC
47%
20%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CFC
1 - 3
VAR
13%
18%
69%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BAÑ
3 - 0
CFC
58%
20%
22%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CFC
0 - 2
AUT
14%
19%
67%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CDB
5 - 1
CFC
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid de Murillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RAP
1 - 0
AUT
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CDB
1 - 0
RAP
54%
20%
26%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RAP
5 - 3
CDS
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
RAP
52%
21%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
RAP
1 - 5
TED
29%
23%
48%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |