CF Benfica vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FAR
1 - 1
CFB
81%
14%
5%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
3 - 5
CFB
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
OEL
0 - 0
CFB
79%
15%
7%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CFB
0 - 1
REA
36%
26%
39%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
OEI
2 - 0
CFB
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RIB
2 - 1
FAF
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 3
FAF
22%
24%
55%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FAF
1 - 1
CAM
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
OSL
0 - 0
FAF
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FAF
2 - 1
CHA
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |