Cesarense vs RD Agueda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MOI
1 - 2
CES
23%
22%
55%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CES
2 - 1
MOR
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
CES
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CES
4 - 0
GOU
52%
22%
26%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CES
2 - 1
MOI
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
RD Agueda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
RDA
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
RDA
3 - 0
GOU
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GON
2 - 0
RDA
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RDA
3 - 0
MOI
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
RDA
4 - 2
ACA
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |