Cesarense vs Gouveia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CES
2 - 1
MOI
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CIN
1 - 0
CES
49%
26%
25%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CES
0 - 1
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CES
4 - 2
SOU
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
CES
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GOU
0 - 1
LUS
36%
23%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MOR
3 - 1
GOU
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
GOU
1 - 1
GAF
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ACA
0 - 0
GOU
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GOU
2 - 1
ANA
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +2 |