Cesarense vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
CES
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
BUS
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CES
3 - 1
MOR
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 1
CES
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CES
1 - 0
OLI
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 0
GAF
47%
23%
29%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 2
SAN
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GAF
2 - 1
BUS
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 0
GAF
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 0
LUS
37%
26%
38%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |