Cervelló vs Papiol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cervelló
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 0
CER
72%
15%
13%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CER
1 - 3
FLL
53%
20%
26%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
REI
3 - 1
CER
70%
16%
14%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CER
2 - 1
ESP
34%
21%
45%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ABR
3 - 1
CER
30%
20%
50%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Papiol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PAP
1 - 3
VIL
42%
23%
35%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CPM
2 - 0
PAP
59%
19%
22%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PAP
2 - 1
TOR
31%
23%
46%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PAP
2 - 2
SVH
21%
20%
59%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PAL
4 - 0
PAP
70%
16%
14%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |