Cerveira vs Vianense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
65%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerveira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
CER
80%
14%
7%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CER
1 - 1
ESP
10%
19%
71%
|
11 | 45 | 34 | +3 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
AMA
1 - 2
CER
79%
14%
7%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CER
0 - 1
BRA
11%
19%
70%
|
10 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CER
1 - 2
JOA
14%
20%
67%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VIA
2 - 0
MEL
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
VIA
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VIA
1 - 0
VIL
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FAO
0 - 0
VIA
24%
23%
52%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VIA
3 - 0
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |