Cerveira vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
68.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerveira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CER
2 - 0
BRI
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MIR
2 - 0
CER
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PED
3 - 0
CER
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CER
0 - 4
MAR
16%
18%
66%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 2
CER
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MER
1 - 1
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAM
0 - 2
MER
10%
18%
73%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MER
2 - 1
SMA
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 1
MER
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |